Thursday, January 20, 2011

Tunisia

 However, Tunisia also has its own problems: the unemployment rate higher. Official reports say 14%, but there are also claims the real unemployment rate may exceed 20%, and even said 30%. Unemployed are mainly young people, especially university graduates, and even graduate students, etc., from the fuse can be seen in this case youth unemployment is a big problem.

mutations in the Tunisian political
Ben Ali will long live in Saudi Arabia, or temporary stay, which at present can not be determined. But you can certainly say that his political career is over. Ben Ali, the possibility of returning almost no power. He chose to leave, rather than choose to remain in the country, it has been that he has given up the intention to stay in power. It should be said, this is the situation in Tunisia to avoid further bloodshed turmoil of a wise move.

followed by political reasons. For a long time, despite the parliamentary and presidential elections in Tunisia are the multi-party elections, but in fact are the long-ruling Constitutional Democratic Alliance led by Ali. In the last parliamentary elections the party and even get more than 160 seats, reaching more than two-thirds majority of the seats. Within the ruling party, is authoritative, Ben Ali himself. President Ben Ali was elected in 2009 nearly 90% of the vote.

Ben Ali on November 7, 1987 alleged ill take over the Ben Ali in April 1989 duly elected. Since then, he in 1994, 1999, 2004 and 2009, four re-elected President of Tunisia.

WASHINGTON President of the Republic of Tunisia Zine El Abidine Ben Ali of Tunisia led consecutive 23 years later, in the evening of January 14 the situation remained turbulent suddenly left the country, at 15, arrived in Saudi Arabia.

In addition, the international financial crisis, Tunisia was also more severe price rises, as people mentioned in the protest slogan:

prospects: political uncertainty increased

Wang lock workers: This is the Arab countries are now enthusiastic discussion of a problem. Western is also speculated that a similar because it makes people see an example, with a contrast.

However, Ben Ali has gradually implemented a number of political reform, including the introduction of multi-party elections. In fact, under the leadership of Ben Ali of Tunisia more liberal national image, the political situation stable.

I think that this incident came to power in 1987 Ben Ali has amazing similarities, but also can be seen as another 1987 reasons but also because of social unrest, Ben Ali to the ground to have been ill three years serving President Habib Bourguiba old to step down, but now also because of similar social protest and unrest, leading to his home.

1958 年 to 1986, Ben Ali, Tunisia has appointed the Secretary for military security, military attache stationed in Morocco, the National Security Bureau, Mr, Ambassador to Poland, the Interior Secretary of State, the Prime Minister Delegate in charge of national security Minister of the Interior and other staff. May 1987, he served as minister of state of Tunisia's internal affairs. In the same year in October, he was appointed Prime Minister, concurrently Minister of the Interior.

Finally, this incident does not rule out by terrorist organizations as well as the instigation of a number of countries. But this does not seem to determine reasons, because the Tunisian government would not say which country or which specific terrorist organizations manipulation. Events there are many uncertainties.

the 3 September 1936 Ali was born in the outskirts of Sousse Tunisia 哈马姆苏塞 third largest town of an ordinary family. Saint-Cyr in France, his early ordnance has schools, Artillery School and the United States Intelligence and Security College, field and air defense artillery school, won the Electronics Engineer diploma.

impact: It may spread to other countries

now see that may feel a sense of crisis there are so few countries: for example, neighboring Libya. Libyan leader Muammar Gaddafi has indicated that the Tunisians are too anxious, and so should be legally Ben Ali to step down in 2014. Gaddafi himself was in office a long time leader.

political reasons

economic reasons

Wang lock workers, Middle East experts, Asian and African Institute of International Relations, Peking University, Professor, Director of the Center for Middle Eastern Studies.

expert interpretation


the Government of Tunisia in the current chaotic, weak, do not want confrontation with the public. Comparing the mood for passionate people, once again bloodshed, the situation will become more dangerous. Government biggest worry is chaos. Today, all parties hope that the international community as soon as possible the situation in Tunisia, calm and smooth elections. But whether the wish fulfilled, it should be said that now need to wait and see. Because the people lost confidence in the ruling party, and some even advocate must charge back Ben Ali to stand trial. I think it does not rule out the possibility of further chaos, but of course there is also the possibility of the situation gradually subsided.

Ben Ali of Tunisia was considered to bring political stability and economic prosperity of the hero, but also because of the long-term and highly centralized power, refused to implement political reform and criticized.

Fourth, there are contradictions within the ruling group. Obviously, if the ruling party or the government of Tunisia to treat such comments are consistent with social unrest, then Ben Ali will not have come this far. So the problem must also relatively large within the ruling party, many people may lose confidence in him.

internal contradictions

Guangzhou Daily: Tunisia future political trends will evolve?

Ben Ali: The Fall of a political star

external interference

Wang lock workers: the present situation of Tunisia has not yet completely settled.

causes of corruption

Guangzhou Daily: What are the factors that led to the mutation of the Council and the President of Tunisia Ben Ali's leaving?

other is Egypt, the Egyptian political situation is also similar to Tunisia, and Egypt will hold presidential elections this fall, it is affected by the incident may be the greatest. Egyptian President Hosni Mubarak has been in place the current three years. Whether he will continue to re-election has also been closely watched. Egypt, Tunisia, the election this year, the event will result in some external pressure.

Wang lock workers: first, economic reasons. Tunisia's economic development in general is good, the year before its competitiveness ranking first place in Africa, surpassing even South Africa, economic growth is generally maintained at about 5%. Council is also relatively long-term stability.

Guangzhou Daily: Tunisia in the Arab world, the event will cause a chain reaction of other countries, and even lead to a similar event staged in another Arab country?

far as I know there are also being constantly riot, how much control the military? Opposition leaders have also become active, and even opposition leaders announced in a foreign country home, the rise of various political forces, which have increased the circumstances of the current political uncertainty in Tunisia.


night, making the North African country to become the focus of international attention. Past two decades, the Tunisian economy to maintain steady growth, the international image of the enlightened, is one of the most competitive country in Africa. In the end what factors have led to drastic changes in political Tunisia? Why did former President Ben Ali the night away? Tunisian political prospects? In turn generate events on the Arab world what kind of impact? With these questions, the reporter on the Middle East Research Center, Peking University, Wang, director of the lock to interview workers. Special text: Wang Xiyi

the current interim president appointed by the Speaker of the Meyer Bazaar. But Meyer himself is the ruling party's top Bazaar. He is a member of the Political Bureau of the League of constitutional democracy, he began as president in 1997 to the present, the age is greater than the Ben Ali, has 77 years of age. Premier League Jiamu Xi is the Second Vice-President of constitutional democracy, but also senior party leaders. He began in 1999 when the Prime Minister, has been re-elected. Public dissatisfaction with the ruling party has lost even the confidence of senior ruling party, they both have this much confidence and support, to place a question mark.

third is in power in government, especially officials of corruption are quite serious. The people's protest included allegations of the Ali family, such as his wife's accusations.

Tunisia
In addition, Yemen will also be affected, but not imminent. The Arab monarchies such as the Gulf countries on this issue will not have a lot of pressure. This is why Saudi Arabia to shelter Ben Ali.

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